10 Possible October Surprises
2016
What is an "October Surprise?"
Any political event orchestrated (or apparently orchestrated) in the month before an election, in the hopes of affecting the outcome of the election.
Technically a hurricane doesn't qualify as an "orchestrated event," but we could imagine Donald Trump positing that Hillary was responsible for the natural disaster because of some secret weather machine she and Bill have in the basement in Chappaqua.
That said, in 2012 Barak Obama's response to Superstorm Sandy arguably altered the course of the election.
That said, in 2012 Barak Obama's response to Superstorm Sandy arguably altered the course of the election.
Somewhere around Friday, October 7, 2016, Hurricane Matthew is currently forecast to slam into the US mainland east coast somewhere between Florida and New England as a strong Category 2 or 3 hurricane. If it happens as currently predicted this would be as big a October Surprise as Superstorm Sandy. The next debate would likely be canceled and the government's response to Hurricane Matthew would play into how people vote in the swing states of Florida, North Carolina, or Pennsylvania depending on where the hurricane strikes. It should be noted, however, that hurricane forecasts are notoriously unreliable 10 days in advance so it is purely speculative that Hurricane Matthew will play a part in the 2016 elections.
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This seems quite likely at some point either before or after the election. Before? It would finally doom his candidacy. After? It might get him thrown in jail.
And we couldn't think of a better choice.
You could put any number of spins on this one. Trump could be indicted by the New York Attorney General for fraud for his bogus "foundation," he could file for bankruptcy of it could be revealed that he is insolvent, he could just keep spouting his racist, sexist, misogynist, xenophobic rant and his poll numbers could dive on that alone. Its hard to imagine that half of Americans are as xenophobic as Trump and thus willing to vote for him.
Has anyone seen her since the Republican Convention plagiarism debacle?
We've already seen this during this election cycle. It would not be surprising to see more of it. They are desperate for a Trump presidency. Have you seen the photos of Trumps daughter paling around with Putin's mistress? Now you have (see below)
These are recent photos of Ivanka Trump with Wendi Weng (Vladimir Putin's mistress). The incestuous relationships in this family are sickening. How is it that middle-American, blue collar workers are enamored of these self-involved, disturbing people?
It's hard to imagine what kind of gaffe would change the trajectory of the race, because there have been so many already. Trump's sniveling first debate performance was pitiful, but new polls won't be out until around the first of October so we won't know until then what affect they've had on the trajectory of the race.
On September 13, Wikileaks and its founder Julian Assange released 100,000 new documents from hacking the Democratic National Committee. Assange had previously promised to release more information damaging to Clinton and it is unclear if this is it, or if he has more relating to the Clinton Foundation or her State Department tenure.
A spectacular military victory would certainly be beneficial to Democrats.
#10 No Surprise at all.
The Realization that there is no such Thing as An October Surprise in Politics.
The notion that a presidential campaign can be altered in its final stage by a new event—the October surprise—is likely fantasy. When voters actually go to cast their vote they will know who they cannot possibly vote for, and we'll all live to see the first female President of the United States.
OK. We couldn't resist one more. Hillary has her dragons take out Trump once and for all, ridding America of the menace of the miserable Trump family forever. Cher and Barbara sing a duet at Hillary's inauguration. Everyone lives happily ever after.
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